My thoughts on China's future

Readers, the information found below belongs to Jot, who is becoming a fast friend of mine in the world of blogs. His questions and thoughts are very interesting to me and I have been writing replys to his post regarding the connection between China / Iran / Hezbollah. Below is the link to his post.

http://epicperceptions.blogspot.com/2006/08/chinairanhezbollah-connection_10.html

Here is my first reply:

This is a very interesting post. It always seems like China will do whatever it takes to get on America's bad side. I can't help but wonder though if what you say will really come to pass... I mean--China would basically be saying we'll go to bat for everything anti-American in the middle east, it would add yet a whole other dimension to the conflict, or should I say world war.Thanks for the great post. I'll be back again.http://terracottabloggers.blogspot.com
Posted by D.A. 8/10/2006 03:45:05 PM

Tell me, D.A., as you are apparently Chinese (based on a quick jump over to the blog linked to your name), what do you think will happen? Or, perhaps a better questions is, how much is enough for the Chinese government? Will economic control be sufficient, or will it become literally territorial?As for going "to bat for everything anti-American in the middle east" - do a quick Google search on Russian/Chinese relations and how both countries are deeply embedded financially in the middle east oil trade. The possibility (likely or not) of American control of middle east oil is enough to have a great number of countries lining up against the U.S., although I will concede that many don't do it in public statements. They do it in non-publicized, and economically based ways.I'd be interested in your thoughts, if you'd care to share them.Peace...Jot

Posted by Jot 8/10/2006 05:53:18 PM
Jot-I am no fortune teller, but I like to think that I know what is going on. China is poising themselves for a later battle. China is in a pubescent stage, they are filling out, getting hair on their chest, but aren't ready to take on the big guys, not yet at least. Even though China has the largest standing army and could probably fight a multi-front battle purely based on numbers, I do not think that this will become a territorial battle. Economic control though, would be a huge win for China. Everyone knows that they are becoming the economic super power, but imagine if they could play their chips right, they would be able to demonstrate that they can use their economic power as leverage in a global conflict. The Chinese want to show the world that economic greatness can exist in China without having to change their government to do it. Not only would they be saving face, but also inflating it. The crisis would have to escalate exponentially to have the Chinese get involved militarily. China wouldn't have a problem supplying all the missiles in the world- but its like you said- they wouldn't publicly do it.What are your thoughts on China's position?Thanks for the mental stimulation.

Posted by D.A. 8/11/2006 10:24:08 PM
Jot-I am no fortune teller, but I like to think that I know what is going on. China is poising themselves for a later battle. China is in a pubescent stage, they are filling out, getting hair on their chest, but aren't ready to take on the big guys, not yet at least. Even though China has the largest standing army and could probably fight a multi-front battle purely based on numbers, I do not think that this will become a territorial battle. Economic control though, would be a huge win for China. Everyone knows that they are becoming the economic super power, but imagine if they could play their chips right, they would be able to demonstrate that they can use their economic power as leverage in a global conflict. The Chinese want to show the world that economic greatness can exist in China without having to change their government to do it. Not only would they be saving face, but also inflating it. The crisis would have to escalate exponentially to have the Chinese get involved militarily. China wouldn't have a problem supplying all the missiles in the world- but its like you said- they wouldn't publicly do it.

Posted by D.A. 8/11/2006 10:24:44 PM
I agree with you that China is becoming, if they're aren't already, the economic superpower you speak of. I'm curious though, to hear more of your thoughts on the "later battle" that you believe China to be poising for.It's interesting that you write how China percieves its rise in economic power as a testament to its communist/socialist philosophy of government. Would you not agree that this meteoric rise economic status is based in capitalistic policies? As such, while the economic gains most definitely benefit the government itself, how does it benefit the people of China? Further, how long will the people of China take the scraps from the governments table before they decide they want more? The stand-off in the square was, indeed, many years ago, and many things have changed since that time. However, do you feel the Chinese people are more willing to accept the status quo today than they were then?Unfortunately, I also agree that the Chinese government wouldn't have a problem supplying all the missiles in the world. Sadly enough, this, too, is a page from the U.S. playbook. Wars are easy when you don't have to fight them yourselves, right?